Argentina's election outcome has left many wondering if it reflects genuine support for President Javier Milei or was driven by economic blackmail from US President Donald Trump.
Milei, who ran under the slogan "A colony of the US" – referencing Trump's alleged interference in Argentina's election – won the midterms by a significant margin: about 41% to 32%. This result has been described as the lowest point of his nearly two-year presidency, marked by an economic downturn and corruption allegations.
Despite this, Milei emerged victorious, thanks largely to a $40 billion bailout from Trump, which was conditional on his win. The US president's announcement before the vote had warned that if Milei didn't succeed, he would withdraw support.
While some see the result as a genuine endorsement of Milei's policies, others believe it was driven by economic pressure. "I know that the US bailout will bring some stability," said Agustin Cantilo, a 30-year-old broker who voted for Milei's party twice, "but I also know that if the US has to let go of your hand at some point, it will."
Others are more critical of Milei and his administration. Hernán Letcher, director of the Centre for Argentine Political Economy (CEPA), described the result as a surprise, given the economic indicators had not shown any positive performance.
"For many people, a cheap dollar wins elections," he said, adding that this factor contributed to Milei's victory.
But what really mattered was stability – and Milei promised that. "A large part of society has a very stigmatised view of Peronism," Letcher explained. According to sociologist Juan Gabriel Tokatlian, Milei's campaign successfully spread the idea that if he didn't win, the economy would collapse.
This fear-driven approach worked for some – but not all. Aquiles Ferrario, an 82-year-old bookshop owner who voted for Peronism, was surprised and concerned by the result. "What worries me is the future of our children, grandchildren and their successors," he said. "They might end up living openly in a colony of the US."
It's clear that Trump's influence on Argentina's election has been significant – but at what cost?
Milei, who ran under the slogan "A colony of the US" – referencing Trump's alleged interference in Argentina's election – won the midterms by a significant margin: about 41% to 32%. This result has been described as the lowest point of his nearly two-year presidency, marked by an economic downturn and corruption allegations.
Despite this, Milei emerged victorious, thanks largely to a $40 billion bailout from Trump, which was conditional on his win. The US president's announcement before the vote had warned that if Milei didn't succeed, he would withdraw support.
While some see the result as a genuine endorsement of Milei's policies, others believe it was driven by economic pressure. "I know that the US bailout will bring some stability," said Agustin Cantilo, a 30-year-old broker who voted for Milei's party twice, "but I also know that if the US has to let go of your hand at some point, it will."
Others are more critical of Milei and his administration. Hernán Letcher, director of the Centre for Argentine Political Economy (CEPA), described the result as a surprise, given the economic indicators had not shown any positive performance.
"For many people, a cheap dollar wins elections," he said, adding that this factor contributed to Milei's victory.
But what really mattered was stability – and Milei promised that. "A large part of society has a very stigmatised view of Peronism," Letcher explained. According to sociologist Juan Gabriel Tokatlian, Milei's campaign successfully spread the idea that if he didn't win, the economy would collapse.
This fear-driven approach worked for some – but not all. Aquiles Ferrario, an 82-year-old bookshop owner who voted for Peronism, was surprised and concerned by the result. "What worries me is the future of our children, grandchildren and their successors," he said. "They might end up living openly in a colony of the US."
It's clear that Trump's influence on Argentina's election has been significant – but at what cost?