UK Chancellor Reeves Pledges to Defy Economic Forecasts, Raising Stakes Over Budget
In a bold move, Chancellor Rachel Reeves has vowed to defy gloomy economic forecasts, which predict a productivity downgrade that would leave her with a Β£20bn gap in her forthcoming budget. The fiscal watchdog's downgraded estimates have infuriated ministers, who had anticipated an easier ride in terms of fiscal management.
Reeves has taken a firm stance, insisting that she will not simply accept the forecasts and instead prove them wrong. She acknowledges that her decisions "don't come for free" and are not easy, but believes that her approach is necessary to address the UK's economic challenges.
The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) had predicted a 0.3 percentage point downgrade in productivity, which would create an even tougher economic backdrop. However, Reeves points out that the UK's economic foundations remain strong, citing five interest rate cuts, wages growing faster than inflation, and investment in public services and infrastructure to boost growth.
Reeves has also rejected claims from Reform UK and the Tories that the economy is broken or in a state of permanent decline. She argues that these narratives are only employed by those who want to advance their own partisan agendas.
The chancellor's determination to defy economic forecasts raises significant stakes over the budget, which is expected to be one of the most difficult in recent years. Reeves will need to balance her ambition to address the country's economic challenges with the need to deliver a responsible and sustainable fiscal policy.
One potential solution that has been discussed is raising income tax, focusing on the wealthy, to raise sufficient revenue. However, this would require careful consideration of the political implications and may be seen as a departure from Labour's pre-election pledges.
Reeves' comments also highlight the need for the UK government to prioritize fiscal resilience in the face of future shocks. She has promised measures in the budget to "bear down on" rising costs, including lowering household energy bills, which could help alleviate the impact of inflation on households and support Labour's base.
Ultimately, the outcome of the budget will depend on Reeves' ability to balance competing demands and deliver a coherent fiscal policy that addresses the UK's economic challenges.
In a bold move, Chancellor Rachel Reeves has vowed to defy gloomy economic forecasts, which predict a productivity downgrade that would leave her with a Β£20bn gap in her forthcoming budget. The fiscal watchdog's downgraded estimates have infuriated ministers, who had anticipated an easier ride in terms of fiscal management.
Reeves has taken a firm stance, insisting that she will not simply accept the forecasts and instead prove them wrong. She acknowledges that her decisions "don't come for free" and are not easy, but believes that her approach is necessary to address the UK's economic challenges.
The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) had predicted a 0.3 percentage point downgrade in productivity, which would create an even tougher economic backdrop. However, Reeves points out that the UK's economic foundations remain strong, citing five interest rate cuts, wages growing faster than inflation, and investment in public services and infrastructure to boost growth.
Reeves has also rejected claims from Reform UK and the Tories that the economy is broken or in a state of permanent decline. She argues that these narratives are only employed by those who want to advance their own partisan agendas.
The chancellor's determination to defy economic forecasts raises significant stakes over the budget, which is expected to be one of the most difficult in recent years. Reeves will need to balance her ambition to address the country's economic challenges with the need to deliver a responsible and sustainable fiscal policy.
One potential solution that has been discussed is raising income tax, focusing on the wealthy, to raise sufficient revenue. However, this would require careful consideration of the political implications and may be seen as a departure from Labour's pre-election pledges.
Reeves' comments also highlight the need for the UK government to prioritize fiscal resilience in the face of future shocks. She has promised measures in the budget to "bear down on" rising costs, including lowering household energy bills, which could help alleviate the impact of inflation on households and support Labour's base.
Ultimately, the outcome of the budget will depend on Reeves' ability to balance competing demands and deliver a coherent fiscal policy that addresses the UK's economic challenges.