Michigan's cannabis market is facing a bleak future as a new tax threatens to shrink the industry further. The state's recreational market saw its first decline in annual sales last year, with adult-use dispensaries generating $3.17 billion in revenue in 2025, down from $3.27 billion in 2024.
The decline is attributed to an oversaturated supply and declining prices, which has led to over 550 dispensaries and cultivators closing their doors since recreational cannabis sales began in December 2019. Thousands of employees have also been laid off, leaving many wondering how the industry will recover.
A new tax on wholesale cannabis is expected to exacerbate the problem, with a 24% levy scheduled to take effect this year. The state estimates that the tax will shrink the wholesale market by 14%, which could lead to further closures and layoffs.
Industry insiders are warning of an impending "bloodbath" as corporate retailers and large-scale growers capitalize on the struggles of smaller operators. Many are already reporting slow sales and a lack of customers, with some attributing the decline to consumers mistakenly believing they will have to pay the new tax.
Growers, who are feeling the pressure the most, are bracing for a tough year ahead. Michigan currently has 430 active grow operations, but 191 have closed since the industry began. The state is also expected to lose millions in excise and sales taxes due to the wholesale tax.
Business owners and regulators are at odds over the impact of the new legislation, which would limit competition in hopes of reducing oversupply. While some see it as a necessary measure, others argue that it will harm small cities and communities that rely on cannabis revenue.
As the industry teeters on the brink of collapse, many are worried about the future of cannabis workers and local budgets that depend on cannabis tax revenue. The state is expected to lose millions in excise and sales taxes due to the wholesale tax, which could have long-lasting implications for Michigan's economy.
With the industry in crisis mode, it remains to be seen how businesses will adapt to the new tax and changing landscape. One thing is clear, however: the future of Michigan's cannabis market looks bleaker by the day.
The decline is attributed to an oversaturated supply and declining prices, which has led to over 550 dispensaries and cultivators closing their doors since recreational cannabis sales began in December 2019. Thousands of employees have also been laid off, leaving many wondering how the industry will recover.
A new tax on wholesale cannabis is expected to exacerbate the problem, with a 24% levy scheduled to take effect this year. The state estimates that the tax will shrink the wholesale market by 14%, which could lead to further closures and layoffs.
Industry insiders are warning of an impending "bloodbath" as corporate retailers and large-scale growers capitalize on the struggles of smaller operators. Many are already reporting slow sales and a lack of customers, with some attributing the decline to consumers mistakenly believing they will have to pay the new tax.
Growers, who are feeling the pressure the most, are bracing for a tough year ahead. Michigan currently has 430 active grow operations, but 191 have closed since the industry began. The state is also expected to lose millions in excise and sales taxes due to the wholesale tax.
Business owners and regulators are at odds over the impact of the new legislation, which would limit competition in hopes of reducing oversupply. While some see it as a necessary measure, others argue that it will harm small cities and communities that rely on cannabis revenue.
As the industry teeters on the brink of collapse, many are worried about the future of cannabis workers and local budgets that depend on cannabis tax revenue. The state is expected to lose millions in excise and sales taxes due to the wholesale tax, which could have long-lasting implications for Michigan's economy.
With the industry in crisis mode, it remains to be seen how businesses will adapt to the new tax and changing landscape. One thing is clear, however: the future of Michigan's cannabis market looks bleaker by the day.