OPEC+ has announced a surprise 1.6 million barrel-a-day cut in oil production, effective May through the end of the year, sending shockwaves throughout global energy markets. The move, aimed at supporting Brent crude futures and US benchmark WTI, is expected to lead to higher gas prices across the United States.
According to Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, OPEC's decision is set to reignite concerns about inflation, particularly in the US. "I think OPEC is reawakening the inflation monster," he said. The White House may be under pressure to respond to this development, with Kloza predicting that gas prices could surge by up to $3.80 to $3.90 in a relatively short period.
US drivers are already bracing for higher costs, with Monday's national average gasoline price standing at $3.51 per gallon, according to AAA. The RBOB wholesale gasoline price has risen by about 8 cents, or 3%, in morning trading. Kloza believes that prices were getting close to pre-pandemic levels and notes that a hurricane or other storms affecting production along the Gulf Coast could push prices even higher.
While it's unlikely that gas prices will reach the record-high $5.02 per gallon seen on June 14, 2022, there is still potential for significant price increases in the coming months. Kloza estimates that US drivers won't see prices drop back to year-earlier levels until at least late summer, assuming no major disruptions to global energy markets.
It's worth noting that OPEC+ has shown its ability to cut production, and with the group seemingly motivated by their decision, it may prove challenging for them to reverse course. The fact remains, however, that even with higher oil prices, the US is likely to see gas prices below pre-pandemic levels, thanks to a strong domestic energy sector and additional releases from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.
According to Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, OPEC's decision is set to reignite concerns about inflation, particularly in the US. "I think OPEC is reawakening the inflation monster," he said. The White House may be under pressure to respond to this development, with Kloza predicting that gas prices could surge by up to $3.80 to $3.90 in a relatively short period.
US drivers are already bracing for higher costs, with Monday's national average gasoline price standing at $3.51 per gallon, according to AAA. The RBOB wholesale gasoline price has risen by about 8 cents, or 3%, in morning trading. Kloza believes that prices were getting close to pre-pandemic levels and notes that a hurricane or other storms affecting production along the Gulf Coast could push prices even higher.
While it's unlikely that gas prices will reach the record-high $5.02 per gallon seen on June 14, 2022, there is still potential for significant price increases in the coming months. Kloza estimates that US drivers won't see prices drop back to year-earlier levels until at least late summer, assuming no major disruptions to global energy markets.
It's worth noting that OPEC+ has shown its ability to cut production, and with the group seemingly motivated by their decision, it may prove challenging for them to reverse course. The fact remains, however, that even with higher oil prices, the US is likely to see gas prices below pre-pandemic levels, thanks to a strong domestic energy sector and additional releases from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.