The Iranian regime's tactics of repression are facing new pressures as protests spread across the country, with the government struggling to contain the unrest. The internet blackout is a classic move, meant to stifle dissent and prevent information from spreading, but it also serves as a reminder of the deep-seated issues that are driving the protests in the first place - rocketing inflation, a tanking currency, and widespread economic hardship.
Despite having faced previous crackdowns on similar protests, particularly during the 2009 Green movement and ten years ago when economic unrest was met with force, this latest wave of demonstrations has a distinctly different tone. The protesters are not limited to traditionally opposition-heavy areas but have instead spread to more moderate sections of society, and their demands are becoming increasingly radical.
The regime's response is one of escalating repression, with the supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei now openly labeling protesters "saboteurs" and threatening to hit hard if any more die. The head of the judiciary has vowed severe consequences for demonstrators, but this only serves to fuel further unrest. The fact that the regime's economic room for manoeuvre is increasingly limited only adds to its desperation.
But here's the thing: the international community is beginning to recognize that the Iranian regime's days are numbered. The US president Donald Trump's recent threats have made it clear that some leaders will stop at nothing to crush dissent, but this could also be a wake-up call for them. The fact that Iran's axis of resistance has been severely degraded and its supposed impregnability is no longer tenable is a worrying sign.
The real danger now is not intervention from abroad - although that would only exacerbate the suffering - but rather the entrenchment of the regime's power as it struggles to stay afloat. The Iranian defence council's signal that it could take preemptive military action if it saw "objective signs of threat" from the US and Israel is a chilling reminder that we are entering a riskier era.
Ultimately, there can be no easy exit for those caught up in this maelstrom. All we can do is hope that those who claim to want to help will prioritize the legitimate grievances of Iranian citizens over their own cynical agendas, lest they only serve to fuel more bloodshed and suffering.
Despite having faced previous crackdowns on similar protests, particularly during the 2009 Green movement and ten years ago when economic unrest was met with force, this latest wave of demonstrations has a distinctly different tone. The protesters are not limited to traditionally opposition-heavy areas but have instead spread to more moderate sections of society, and their demands are becoming increasingly radical.
The regime's response is one of escalating repression, with the supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei now openly labeling protesters "saboteurs" and threatening to hit hard if any more die. The head of the judiciary has vowed severe consequences for demonstrators, but this only serves to fuel further unrest. The fact that the regime's economic room for manoeuvre is increasingly limited only adds to its desperation.
But here's the thing: the international community is beginning to recognize that the Iranian regime's days are numbered. The US president Donald Trump's recent threats have made it clear that some leaders will stop at nothing to crush dissent, but this could also be a wake-up call for them. The fact that Iran's axis of resistance has been severely degraded and its supposed impregnability is no longer tenable is a worrying sign.
The real danger now is not intervention from abroad - although that would only exacerbate the suffering - but rather the entrenchment of the regime's power as it struggles to stay afloat. The Iranian defence council's signal that it could take preemptive military action if it saw "objective signs of threat" from the US and Israel is a chilling reminder that we are entering a riskier era.
Ultimately, there can be no easy exit for those caught up in this maelstrom. All we can do is hope that those who claim to want to help will prioritize the legitimate grievances of Iranian citizens over their own cynical agendas, lest they only serve to fuel more bloodshed and suffering.