The Crumbling Transatlantic Order: A Greenland Conundrum
In a shocking display of assertiveness, the Trump administration has announced plans to impose punitive tariffs on eight European allies unless they facilitate the sale of Greenland. This brazen move is likely to shatter the post-1945 transatlantic order, marking a return to 19th-century imperial practices.
The US's demand for Greenland, which includes a threat of economic coercion, is an affront to international norms and a stark reminder of America's diminished influence on global affairs. By linking trade access to territorial sovereignty, Washington has effectively abandoned its role as Europe's security guarantor, opting instead for a more aggressive, rent-seeking approach.
The implications are far-reaching and profound. The European Union (EU) is facing intense pressure to demonstrate unity in the face of this unprecedented challenge. However, internal divisions and competing interests threaten to undermine the bloc's cohesion, with some member states, like Denmark, firmly opposed to the annexation, while others, such as France and Germany, risk being coerced into prioritizing divergent interests.
The eastern flank of Europe is particularly vulnerable, with Poland and the Baltic states grappling with the existential threat posed by Russian aggression. The US's coercive tactics undermine the logic of the security guarantee itself, leaving these nations uncertain about the reliability of their alliance.
In response to this crisis, Brussels has been exploring its most powerful defensive tool: the Anti-Coercion Instrument (ACI). However, activating it would require a significant escalation and could have irreversible consequences. Instead, European leaders are opting for a wait-and-see approach, hoping that transatlantic relations will return to normal by 2028.
This strategy is woefully inadequate and risks perpetuating EU vassalage. The Greenland crisis represents a structural shift in the global balance of power, and Europe must seize this opportunity to bolster its own sovereign defenses. This requires overcoming entrenched bureaucratic and nationalistic resistance, forcing recalcitrant defense industries into cooperation, and re-energizing the continent's economy through a mix of immigration, economic liberalism, and wise industrial policy.
The urgency of the mid-21st century demands bold action, not gradual incrementalism. Producing the financial resources for an independent defense will take years, but every month spent debating is a month lost. The choice is no longer between maintaining the status quo and integration or succumbing to internal collapse and external threats.
As Christopher S. Chivvis, senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and former US national intelligence officer for Europe, aptly notes, the time for indecision is over. European leaders must confront this crisis head-on, using it as a catalyst to forge a more resilient and assertive continent that can navigate the complexities of the 21st-century world order.
In a shocking display of assertiveness, the Trump administration has announced plans to impose punitive tariffs on eight European allies unless they facilitate the sale of Greenland. This brazen move is likely to shatter the post-1945 transatlantic order, marking a return to 19th-century imperial practices.
The US's demand for Greenland, which includes a threat of economic coercion, is an affront to international norms and a stark reminder of America's diminished influence on global affairs. By linking trade access to territorial sovereignty, Washington has effectively abandoned its role as Europe's security guarantor, opting instead for a more aggressive, rent-seeking approach.
The implications are far-reaching and profound. The European Union (EU) is facing intense pressure to demonstrate unity in the face of this unprecedented challenge. However, internal divisions and competing interests threaten to undermine the bloc's cohesion, with some member states, like Denmark, firmly opposed to the annexation, while others, such as France and Germany, risk being coerced into prioritizing divergent interests.
The eastern flank of Europe is particularly vulnerable, with Poland and the Baltic states grappling with the existential threat posed by Russian aggression. The US's coercive tactics undermine the logic of the security guarantee itself, leaving these nations uncertain about the reliability of their alliance.
In response to this crisis, Brussels has been exploring its most powerful defensive tool: the Anti-Coercion Instrument (ACI). However, activating it would require a significant escalation and could have irreversible consequences. Instead, European leaders are opting for a wait-and-see approach, hoping that transatlantic relations will return to normal by 2028.
This strategy is woefully inadequate and risks perpetuating EU vassalage. The Greenland crisis represents a structural shift in the global balance of power, and Europe must seize this opportunity to bolster its own sovereign defenses. This requires overcoming entrenched bureaucratic and nationalistic resistance, forcing recalcitrant defense industries into cooperation, and re-energizing the continent's economy through a mix of immigration, economic liberalism, and wise industrial policy.
The urgency of the mid-21st century demands bold action, not gradual incrementalism. Producing the financial resources for an independent defense will take years, but every month spent debating is a month lost. The choice is no longer between maintaining the status quo and integration or succumbing to internal collapse and external threats.
As Christopher S. Chivvis, senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and former US national intelligence officer for Europe, aptly notes, the time for indecision is over. European leaders must confront this crisis head-on, using it as a catalyst to forge a more resilient and assertive continent that can navigate the complexities of the 21st-century world order.