The transatlantic order is crumbling. Greenland is a moment of great rupture | Christopher S Chivvis

The Crumbling Transatlantic Order: A Greenland Conundrum

In a shocking display of assertiveness, the Trump administration has announced plans to impose punitive tariffs on eight European allies unless they facilitate the sale of Greenland. This brazen move is likely to shatter the post-1945 transatlantic order, marking a return to 19th-century imperial practices.

The US's demand for Greenland, which includes a threat of economic coercion, is an affront to international norms and a stark reminder of America's diminished influence on global affairs. By linking trade access to territorial sovereignty, Washington has effectively abandoned its role as Europe's security guarantor, opting instead for a more aggressive, rent-seeking approach.

The implications are far-reaching and profound. The European Union (EU) is facing intense pressure to demonstrate unity in the face of this unprecedented challenge. However, internal divisions and competing interests threaten to undermine the bloc's cohesion, with some member states, like Denmark, firmly opposed to the annexation, while others, such as France and Germany, risk being coerced into prioritizing divergent interests.

The eastern flank of Europe is particularly vulnerable, with Poland and the Baltic states grappling with the existential threat posed by Russian aggression. The US's coercive tactics undermine the logic of the security guarantee itself, leaving these nations uncertain about the reliability of their alliance.

In response to this crisis, Brussels has been exploring its most powerful defensive tool: the Anti-Coercion Instrument (ACI). However, activating it would require a significant escalation and could have irreversible consequences. Instead, European leaders are opting for a wait-and-see approach, hoping that transatlantic relations will return to normal by 2028.

This strategy is woefully inadequate and risks perpetuating EU vassalage. The Greenland crisis represents a structural shift in the global balance of power, and Europe must seize this opportunity to bolster its own sovereign defenses. This requires overcoming entrenched bureaucratic and nationalistic resistance, forcing recalcitrant defense industries into cooperation, and re-energizing the continent's economy through a mix of immigration, economic liberalism, and wise industrial policy.

The urgency of the mid-21st century demands bold action, not gradual incrementalism. Producing the financial resources for an independent defense will take years, but every month spent debating is a month lost. The choice is no longer between maintaining the status quo and integration or succumbing to internal collapse and external threats.

As Christopher S. Chivvis, senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and former US national intelligence officer for Europe, aptly notes, the time for indecision is over. European leaders must confront this crisis head-on, using it as a catalyst to forge a more resilient and assertive continent that can navigate the complexities of the 21st-century world order.
 
the us is trying to flex its muscles again 🤔 but it's just gonna scare europe off and make them less reliant on america in the long run 💸 this whole thing with greenland feels like a bad deal for everyone involved - usa gets a bit of leverage, but eu and danish people are losing out big time 😒 what's really concerning is how this could embolden russia to take advantage of europe's internal divisions 🤷‍♀️
 
🤔 "The die has been cast; the question remaining is, what shall we have for dinner?" - Napoleon Bonaparte 😬 The Trump administration's move on Greenland seems to be a masterclass in bluffing and coercion, leaving Europe feeling caught between a rock and hard place. It's time for Brussels to stop playing defense and start building its own strength. With internal divisions running deep, the EU can't rely on wait-and-see tactics; bold action is needed to ensure its sovereignty and security.
 
🤔 This whole Greenland thing is super sketchy. I mean, who tries to strong-arm their allies into giving up a chunk of land? 🤷‍♂️ It's like they're trying to recreate the Wild West or something. And what's with this threat of economic coercion? Like, come on US, be a friend not a foe! 😒

I'm kinda glad Europe is pushing back against this, but I don't think they should just sit around waiting for 2028. That's just too slow. They need to take some real action and show the world that they won't be pushed around. 💪 And what about Poland and those Baltic states? They're already dealing with Russian aggression, can't they get some help from their European friends?

I'm all for stronger defense, but it shouldn't come at the cost of some sort of EU vassalage. That's just not right. 🙅‍♂️ Europe needs to be strong and independent, not dependent on the US. They need to find a way to work together and support each other, rather than just relying on one country to bail them out.

We're living in some wild times, folks. The global balance of power is shifting and it's up to Europe (and others) to take charge. 🌎
 
this whole thing is just wild 🤯 the us is basically trying to strongarm europe into letting them take over greenland like they're some kind of colonial empire again 🌍 it's mind boggling how brazenly they're disregarding international norms and security guarantees 💪 i think eu leaders need to stop playing it cool and actually do something about this instead of just waiting for 2028 to come and go 🕰️ we can't keep relying on the status quo and expecting everything to magically work out 🔮
 
🌎💥 I mean, come on! The US just tried to strong-arm Europe into giving them Greenland? Like, what's next? They're basically saying "you gotta do what we say or else"... That's not how diplomacy works, fam! 😤 It's like they forgot that there are other countries with their own interests and agendas too. We need EU leaders to step up and show some unity, you know? Like, work together as a team instead of letting the US dictate their moves. 💪 And what about those Eastern European countries struggling with Russia? They shouldn't have to choose between their security and pleasing the US. It's time for Europe to take charge and build its own defense system. We can't keep relying on others to save us! 🌟
 
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