White House officials have expressed doubts about the availability of key economic reports due to the ongoing government shutdown. The reports, which are typically released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Department of Labor, may not be made public due to a lack of staff.
According to White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt, October's consumer price index (CPI) report is unlikely to be released, potentially causing irreparable damage to the statistical system. Leavitt warned that without access to this data, policymakers at the Federal Reserve will be flying blind during a critical period in their decision-making.
While it's expected that September's jobs report, which was collected before the shutdown began, will still be made available, October's report has yet to materialize. Economists are bracing themselves for uncertainty, as they had already anticipated some data gaps due to the government shutdown.
The Federal Reserve is expected to make its next monetary policy moves without full access to these reports. Some experts expect the Fed to use private sector data instead, citing the recent ADP jobs report, which showed a modest increase in employment last month.
However, others are more cautious, pointing out that official job numbers have been less robust of late and that any reliance on private sector alternatives could be problematic. The Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell downplayed the impact on the December meeting, but acknowledged that data uncertainty might require adjustments to policy decisions, likening it to driving in a fog β slowing down to navigate the uncertainty.
The implications for economic decision-making are uncertain, with some experts warning of a "fog of data" once the shutdown ends. The White House's comments have added fuel to concerns about the availability and accuracy of key statistics during this period, raising questions about how policymakers will navigate the challenges ahead.
According to White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt, October's consumer price index (CPI) report is unlikely to be released, potentially causing irreparable damage to the statistical system. Leavitt warned that without access to this data, policymakers at the Federal Reserve will be flying blind during a critical period in their decision-making.
While it's expected that September's jobs report, which was collected before the shutdown began, will still be made available, October's report has yet to materialize. Economists are bracing themselves for uncertainty, as they had already anticipated some data gaps due to the government shutdown.
The Federal Reserve is expected to make its next monetary policy moves without full access to these reports. Some experts expect the Fed to use private sector data instead, citing the recent ADP jobs report, which showed a modest increase in employment last month.
However, others are more cautious, pointing out that official job numbers have been less robust of late and that any reliance on private sector alternatives could be problematic. The Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell downplayed the impact on the December meeting, but acknowledged that data uncertainty might require adjustments to policy decisions, likening it to driving in a fog β slowing down to navigate the uncertainty.
The implications for economic decision-making are uncertain, with some experts warning of a "fog of data" once the shutdown ends. The White House's comments have added fuel to concerns about the availability and accuracy of key statistics during this period, raising questions about how policymakers will navigate the challenges ahead.