Donald Trump's Grip on Reality Fades as His Popularity Plummets
A new YouGov/Economist poll reveals that Trump's approval rating has dropped to 38 percent, a drastic decline since the Republican Party suffered a crushing defeat in last month's off-year elections. With three years left in his term and midterms looming, the question is whether he can regain control or succumb to a devastating collapse.
The softening of public support is not just a matter of media attention but also reflects Trump's own declining health and reduced public schedule. Even as he posts on social media late at night, his appearances seem increasingly disconnected from real-world events by daylight. The mainstream media has even commented on the apparent exhaustion and frailty of the 80-year-old former president.
In an attempt to reassert control, Trump spent much of last week posting inflammatory comments on his Truth Social platform, targeting Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz and Rep. Ilhan Omar among others. However, these attempts at attention-grabbing are overshadowed by growing disillusionment with his policies across the board, including immigration and the economy.
A first-ever poll indicates that Trump now has a net negative approval rating across all major polls aggregated by The New York Times. His numbers are even lower than those of any other president since World War II. When voters are asked which party they will support in the 2026 midterm elections, Democrats lead Republicans by 14 percentage points, with historically large margins.
Despite this, Trump's priorities remain centered on his base β the MAGA faithful who make up a loyal but dwindling coalition. His approval ratings among Republican voters remain high at 88 percent, though this is down from six points since inauguration.
In reality, Trump does not prioritize public opinion; he is driven by a desire to be loved by all and advance his own interests. But for now, it appears that key segments of the MAGA coalition are losing faith. Young men who supported Trump in 2024 are deserting him as their jobs worsen, while independent voters, who played a crucial role in his 2024 victory over Kamala Harris, are turning against him.
Critics argue that Trump's policies, including those on immigration and the economy, have become increasingly unpopular. The government shutdown, tariff policies, Russia's war in Ukraine, and controversies surrounding alleged Venezuelan "narcoterrorists" have dragged down support for Trump across all demographics.
While some may dismiss this trend as a "lame duck" president losing steam, there is evidence to suggest that Trump's influence over the Republican Party will outlast his presidency.
A new report from the SNF Agora Institute at Johns Hopkins University found that 85 percent of Republicans believe their party should continue its current direction even after Trump leaves office. However, there are fissures within the MAGA coalition that could be exploited. Focus group research reveals that almost one-third of Trump voters regret voting for him or express disappointment with his handling of the presidency.
As Trump faces an uncertain future, several caveats must be considered: he has a remarkable ability to survive as a politician, and public opinion polls are fleeting snapshots in time. The Democratic Party's brand is still damaged, while Trump's MAGA supporters offer built-in advantages that will only intensify if Republicans attempt to rig elections through partisan gerrymandering and other tactics.
In the end, it remains unclear whether Trump can regain control or if his popularity will continue to decline. One thing is certain β his most loyal followers will never abandon him, but it's uncertain whether they can boost him back to dominance.
A new YouGov/Economist poll reveals that Trump's approval rating has dropped to 38 percent, a drastic decline since the Republican Party suffered a crushing defeat in last month's off-year elections. With three years left in his term and midterms looming, the question is whether he can regain control or succumb to a devastating collapse.
The softening of public support is not just a matter of media attention but also reflects Trump's own declining health and reduced public schedule. Even as he posts on social media late at night, his appearances seem increasingly disconnected from real-world events by daylight. The mainstream media has even commented on the apparent exhaustion and frailty of the 80-year-old former president.
In an attempt to reassert control, Trump spent much of last week posting inflammatory comments on his Truth Social platform, targeting Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz and Rep. Ilhan Omar among others. However, these attempts at attention-grabbing are overshadowed by growing disillusionment with his policies across the board, including immigration and the economy.
A first-ever poll indicates that Trump now has a net negative approval rating across all major polls aggregated by The New York Times. His numbers are even lower than those of any other president since World War II. When voters are asked which party they will support in the 2026 midterm elections, Democrats lead Republicans by 14 percentage points, with historically large margins.
Despite this, Trump's priorities remain centered on his base β the MAGA faithful who make up a loyal but dwindling coalition. His approval ratings among Republican voters remain high at 88 percent, though this is down from six points since inauguration.
In reality, Trump does not prioritize public opinion; he is driven by a desire to be loved by all and advance his own interests. But for now, it appears that key segments of the MAGA coalition are losing faith. Young men who supported Trump in 2024 are deserting him as their jobs worsen, while independent voters, who played a crucial role in his 2024 victory over Kamala Harris, are turning against him.
Critics argue that Trump's policies, including those on immigration and the economy, have become increasingly unpopular. The government shutdown, tariff policies, Russia's war in Ukraine, and controversies surrounding alleged Venezuelan "narcoterrorists" have dragged down support for Trump across all demographics.
While some may dismiss this trend as a "lame duck" president losing steam, there is evidence to suggest that Trump's influence over the Republican Party will outlast his presidency.
A new report from the SNF Agora Institute at Johns Hopkins University found that 85 percent of Republicans believe their party should continue its current direction even after Trump leaves office. However, there are fissures within the MAGA coalition that could be exploited. Focus group research reveals that almost one-third of Trump voters regret voting for him or express disappointment with his handling of the presidency.
As Trump faces an uncertain future, several caveats must be considered: he has a remarkable ability to survive as a politician, and public opinion polls are fleeting snapshots in time. The Democratic Party's brand is still damaged, while Trump's MAGA supporters offer built-in advantages that will only intensify if Republicans attempt to rig elections through partisan gerrymandering and other tactics.
In the end, it remains unclear whether Trump can regain control or if his popularity will continue to decline. One thing is certain β his most loyal followers will never abandon him, but it's uncertain whether they can boost him back to dominance.