In Trump's latest proposal to send $2,000 checks to most Americans funded by tariffs on imports, a regressive tax that disproportionately affects low-income households, lawmakers and economists alike have expressed skepticism.
The scheme is built on the notion of "revenue-neutral" tariffs, where importers pass on the added costs of duties to consumers. However, this approach has proven detrimental to lower-income families, who already spend a larger share of their income. As a result, they are hit harder by price increases due to tariffs, leading to a significant loss of purchasing power.
The numbers back up this assertion: a study by Yale's Budget Lab estimates that households in the bottom decile will bear 2.4% of their annual income in costs due to tariffs, while those in the top decile will only see an increase of 0.8%. This disparity highlights the regressive nature of the tariffs and their ability to widen economic inequality.
In contrast, countries like Canada have implemented targeted payments to offset the negative impact of consumption taxes on low-income households. The Canadian government's quarterly payments, for example, have effectively reversed the regressivity of its value-added tax (VAT) system, providing much-needed relief to families in need.
To make Trump's $2,000 checks more effective, policymakers could learn from Canada's approach. A smaller payment amount, tied to household income and phased out as income rises, would be a better design. Quarterly or monthly payments instead of one-time checks could also mitigate inflationary effects on aggregate demand.
As the White House considers this proposal, it must acknowledge the significant burden that tariffs impose on lower-income households. By reforming its approach, policymakers can create policies that ease the economic hardship caused by these regressive taxes and promote greater equity in the distribution of tax burdens.
The scheme is built on the notion of "revenue-neutral" tariffs, where importers pass on the added costs of duties to consumers. However, this approach has proven detrimental to lower-income families, who already spend a larger share of their income. As a result, they are hit harder by price increases due to tariffs, leading to a significant loss of purchasing power.
The numbers back up this assertion: a study by Yale's Budget Lab estimates that households in the bottom decile will bear 2.4% of their annual income in costs due to tariffs, while those in the top decile will only see an increase of 0.8%. This disparity highlights the regressive nature of the tariffs and their ability to widen economic inequality.
In contrast, countries like Canada have implemented targeted payments to offset the negative impact of consumption taxes on low-income households. The Canadian government's quarterly payments, for example, have effectively reversed the regressivity of its value-added tax (VAT) system, providing much-needed relief to families in need.
To make Trump's $2,000 checks more effective, policymakers could learn from Canada's approach. A smaller payment amount, tied to household income and phased out as income rises, would be a better design. Quarterly or monthly payments instead of one-time checks could also mitigate inflationary effects on aggregate demand.
As the White House considers this proposal, it must acknowledge the significant burden that tariffs impose on lower-income households. By reforming its approach, policymakers can create policies that ease the economic hardship caused by these regressive taxes and promote greater equity in the distribution of tax burdens.