In a stunning turn of events, Senate Democrats have thrown in the towel on their efforts to force President Trump to cave on his demands during the ongoing government shutdown. Eight Democratic senators joined Republicans in advancing a deal to reopen the government, despite no significant concessions from the GOP or the president.
The decision marks a significant defeat for the party's base, which had been highly engaged and vocal in support of a prolonged shutdown fight. Many are now apoplectic, urging a continued battle against Trump's administration. However, this was always a poor turf on which to battle, as Democrats never had a plausible strategy to achieve their goals.
The only ways in which the shutdown could have plausibly ended were for the GOP to abolish the filibuster or for Democrats to cave. In reality, neither party had any incentive to back down, as the other would simply use it as an excuse to do so again in the future.
Trump has been keenly aware of this dynamic and has used it to his advantage. He has pressed Senate Republicans to abolish the filibuster, which would remove a crucial constraint on what he can do. However, many Republicans seem hesitant to follow through, likely due to concerns about how it would impact their party's ability to pass legislation in the future.
The strain of thinking among progressive commentators is that forcing Republicans to abolish the filibuster could have been a winning strategy. The argument goes that ending the filibuster would be good for democratic accountability and allow Democrats to pass their agenda more easily. However, this view neglects the fact that progressives tend to be more opposed to the filibuster than Republicans are.
In reality, the shutdown is not an abstract political game but rather real hardship for many Americans. As such, the Democratic caucus was not hardline enough to keep it going indefinitely. By ultimately cutting a deal, Democrats were able to avoid inflicting further pain on ordinary Americans and reopen the government without any significant concessions from Trump or Republicans.
In hindsight, it's clear that Senate Democrats never had a plausible strategy to win the shutdown fight. However, they felt they had no other option but to try to please their base by giving them a taste of what they wanted โ even if it meant potentially handing over policymaking authority to the GOP in the future.
The decision marks a significant defeat for the party's base, which had been highly engaged and vocal in support of a prolonged shutdown fight. Many are now apoplectic, urging a continued battle against Trump's administration. However, this was always a poor turf on which to battle, as Democrats never had a plausible strategy to achieve their goals.
The only ways in which the shutdown could have plausibly ended were for the GOP to abolish the filibuster or for Democrats to cave. In reality, neither party had any incentive to back down, as the other would simply use it as an excuse to do so again in the future.
Trump has been keenly aware of this dynamic and has used it to his advantage. He has pressed Senate Republicans to abolish the filibuster, which would remove a crucial constraint on what he can do. However, many Republicans seem hesitant to follow through, likely due to concerns about how it would impact their party's ability to pass legislation in the future.
The strain of thinking among progressive commentators is that forcing Republicans to abolish the filibuster could have been a winning strategy. The argument goes that ending the filibuster would be good for democratic accountability and allow Democrats to pass their agenda more easily. However, this view neglects the fact that progressives tend to be more opposed to the filibuster than Republicans are.
In reality, the shutdown is not an abstract political game but rather real hardship for many Americans. As such, the Democratic caucus was not hardline enough to keep it going indefinitely. By ultimately cutting a deal, Democrats were able to avoid inflicting further pain on ordinary Americans and reopen the government without any significant concessions from Trump or Republicans.
In hindsight, it's clear that Senate Democrats never had a plausible strategy to win the shutdown fight. However, they felt they had no other option but to try to please their base by giving them a taste of what they wanted โ even if it meant potentially handing over policymaking authority to the GOP in the future.