Mass Layoffs Signal Shift Away From "No Hire, No Fire" Era in Job Market
The job market's fragile balance of "no hire, no fire" may be coming to an end as major companies like Amazon and UPS announce significant layoffs. For most of 2025, economists described the job market as a period where workers could count on job security but job seekers faced slim prospects.
However, recent announcements from tech giants and retailers suggest that this era is drawing to a close. Amazon recently announced 14,000 job cuts, citing a shift towards artificial intelligence, while UPS reduced its workforce by 48,000 over the past year. Paramount Skydance, the owner of CBS News, also shed jobs as part of an effort to cut costs in the entertainment and media company.
Target notified a state employment agency in Minnesota that it plans to lay off more than 800 workers in January as part of a broader corporate restructuring. The retailer announced last week that it would cut 1,800 corporate positions, trimming its global workforce by about 8%.
These mass layoffs come as the Federal Reserve scrutinizes the labor market for signs of weakness, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell citing concerns about slower hiring in announcing the central bank's first interest-rate cut of 2025. The announcements from Amazon and UPS could signal that the Fed has good reason to be worried.
According to John Challenger, CEO of outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, "No question that this is a shift, and it does seem to me it signals that 'no hire, no fire' is a thing of the past." The layoffs are not just limited to tech companies; employers across the U.S. have cut nearly 950,000 jobs this year through September, the largest number of layoffs since 2020.
The slowdown in job growth has been sharp in recent months, with average monthly payroll gains of roughly 27,000 between May and August - down from average gains of nearly 123,000 per month between January and April. The ADP National Employment Report recently said payrolls at private employers declined by 32,000 jobs in September.
While the nation's unemployment rate remains low, experts warn that the latest layoffs could lead to a rise in long-term unemployed people, who have been searching for work for more than six months. This could be particularly challenging for workers who lose their jobs due to a lack of job openings.
The impact on the labor market is multifaceted, with employers citing factors such as artificial intelligence and economic uncertainty. Amazon's investment in AI tools allowed the company to trim its human workforce, while UPS cited tariffs and shipping declines from Amazon as reasons for its layoffs.
As Americans become increasingly pessimistic about the job market, experts warn that job security may be more precarious. The shift away from "no hire, no fire" could have significant implications for workers and the overall labor market.
The job market's fragile balance of "no hire, no fire" may be coming to an end as major companies like Amazon and UPS announce significant layoffs. For most of 2025, economists described the job market as a period where workers could count on job security but job seekers faced slim prospects.
However, recent announcements from tech giants and retailers suggest that this era is drawing to a close. Amazon recently announced 14,000 job cuts, citing a shift towards artificial intelligence, while UPS reduced its workforce by 48,000 over the past year. Paramount Skydance, the owner of CBS News, also shed jobs as part of an effort to cut costs in the entertainment and media company.
Target notified a state employment agency in Minnesota that it plans to lay off more than 800 workers in January as part of a broader corporate restructuring. The retailer announced last week that it would cut 1,800 corporate positions, trimming its global workforce by about 8%.
These mass layoffs come as the Federal Reserve scrutinizes the labor market for signs of weakness, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell citing concerns about slower hiring in announcing the central bank's first interest-rate cut of 2025. The announcements from Amazon and UPS could signal that the Fed has good reason to be worried.
According to John Challenger, CEO of outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, "No question that this is a shift, and it does seem to me it signals that 'no hire, no fire' is a thing of the past." The layoffs are not just limited to tech companies; employers across the U.S. have cut nearly 950,000 jobs this year through September, the largest number of layoffs since 2020.
The slowdown in job growth has been sharp in recent months, with average monthly payroll gains of roughly 27,000 between May and August - down from average gains of nearly 123,000 per month between January and April. The ADP National Employment Report recently said payrolls at private employers declined by 32,000 jobs in September.
While the nation's unemployment rate remains low, experts warn that the latest layoffs could lead to a rise in long-term unemployed people, who have been searching for work for more than six months. This could be particularly challenging for workers who lose their jobs due to a lack of job openings.
The impact on the labor market is multifaceted, with employers citing factors such as artificial intelligence and economic uncertainty. Amazon's investment in AI tools allowed the company to trim its human workforce, while UPS cited tariffs and shipping declines from Amazon as reasons for its layoffs.
As Americans become increasingly pessimistic about the job market, experts warn that job security may be more precarious. The shift away from "no hire, no fire" could have significant implications for workers and the overall labor market.