US Gas Prices Poised for Sharp Increase as OPEC+ Unleashes 'Inflation Monster'
A surprise move by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) to slash oil production has sent shockwaves through global energy markets, sending US gas prices surging. The group announced a cut of over 1.6 million barrels a day starting in May, which will be felt at US gas pumps almost immediately.
The news sparked a significant spike in Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark oil price, up about 6% in trading on Monday. As a result, gasoline futures also jumped, with RBOB, the most closely watched wholesale gasoline price, rising by about 8 cents a gallon, or 3%, in morning trading.
According to Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, OPEC's move will "reawaken the inflation monster" and put pressure on US drivers. The White House is likely to be "shocked and major-time pissed" by this development, as it alters the calculus for fuel prices in the country.
As of Monday, the national average for US gas prices stood at $3.51, according to AAA, with Kloza predicting that prices could reach up to $3.80 to $3.90 in relatively short order. However, he also noted that while US oil production and refining capacity are both up, a cut of 1 million barrels a day of oil by OPEC+ will be challenging to offset.
Kloza highlighted that despite this, OPEC's ability to cut production and their apparent motivation to do so suggest that they have the capability to impact global energy markets. The average US regular gas price a year ago stood at $4.19 a gallon in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which caused significant disruptions to global energy markets.
While prices are unlikely to reach the record levels of 2022, when oil prices surged due to the conflict, Kloza noted that US drivers could see prices return to year-earlier levels if there is an impact on production along the Gulf Coast.
A surprise move by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) to slash oil production has sent shockwaves through global energy markets, sending US gas prices surging. The group announced a cut of over 1.6 million barrels a day starting in May, which will be felt at US gas pumps almost immediately.
The news sparked a significant spike in Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark oil price, up about 6% in trading on Monday. As a result, gasoline futures also jumped, with RBOB, the most closely watched wholesale gasoline price, rising by about 8 cents a gallon, or 3%, in morning trading.
According to Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, OPEC's move will "reawaken the inflation monster" and put pressure on US drivers. The White House is likely to be "shocked and major-time pissed" by this development, as it alters the calculus for fuel prices in the country.
As of Monday, the national average for US gas prices stood at $3.51, according to AAA, with Kloza predicting that prices could reach up to $3.80 to $3.90 in relatively short order. However, he also noted that while US oil production and refining capacity are both up, a cut of 1 million barrels a day of oil by OPEC+ will be challenging to offset.
Kloza highlighted that despite this, OPEC's ability to cut production and their apparent motivation to do so suggest that they have the capability to impact global energy markets. The average US regular gas price a year ago stood at $4.19 a gallon in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which caused significant disruptions to global energy markets.
While prices are unlikely to reach the record levels of 2022, when oil prices surged due to the conflict, Kloza noted that US drivers could see prices return to year-earlier levels if there is an impact on production along the Gulf Coast.