OPEC+ Unleashes Inflationary Pressure on US Gas Prices
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC)+ has taken a surprise step, slashing its oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day starting from May. This move will soon have a significant impact on gasoline prices in the US, sending shockwaves through the market and fueling inflationary pressures.
The reduction in crude oil supply has led to an immediate surge in gasoline futures, with RBOB, the most closely watched wholesale price, jumping about 8 cents per gallon or 3% in morning trading. This increase will be felt by US drivers much more quickly than the corresponding rise in oil prices, which may only take a few weeks to materialize.
Energy analyst Tom Kloza from OPIS notes that OPEC's move is reawakening the "inflation monster," worrying the White House. He forecasts that gas prices could reach as high as $3.80 to $3.90 per gallon in the coming days, which would be above last year's average of $4.19 per gallon.
Kloza attributes this surge to the US government's strategic reserve releases and increased oil production capacity. However, OPEC's decision is expected to outstrip these efforts, leaving prices vulnerable to fluctuations in global supply and demand.
While some analysts predict that gas prices may stabilize by the end of summer, Kloza cautions that a hurricane or other disruptions along the Gulf Coast could push prices back up. The last time gas prices hit $5 per gallon was on June 14, 2022, following Russia's invasion of Ukraine and subsequent market turmoil.
For now, US drivers are bracing for higher fuel costs, with the national average standing at $3.51 per gallon. As OPEC+ continues to manipulate global oil supplies, it remains to be seen whether these efforts will ultimately drive prices back down or reignite inflationary pressures on the US economy.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC)+ has taken a surprise step, slashing its oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day starting from May. This move will soon have a significant impact on gasoline prices in the US, sending shockwaves through the market and fueling inflationary pressures.
The reduction in crude oil supply has led to an immediate surge in gasoline futures, with RBOB, the most closely watched wholesale price, jumping about 8 cents per gallon or 3% in morning trading. This increase will be felt by US drivers much more quickly than the corresponding rise in oil prices, which may only take a few weeks to materialize.
Energy analyst Tom Kloza from OPIS notes that OPEC's move is reawakening the "inflation monster," worrying the White House. He forecasts that gas prices could reach as high as $3.80 to $3.90 per gallon in the coming days, which would be above last year's average of $4.19 per gallon.
Kloza attributes this surge to the US government's strategic reserve releases and increased oil production capacity. However, OPEC's decision is expected to outstrip these efforts, leaving prices vulnerable to fluctuations in global supply and demand.
While some analysts predict that gas prices may stabilize by the end of summer, Kloza cautions that a hurricane or other disruptions along the Gulf Coast could push prices back up. The last time gas prices hit $5 per gallon was on June 14, 2022, following Russia's invasion of Ukraine and subsequent market turmoil.
For now, US drivers are bracing for higher fuel costs, with the national average standing at $3.51 per gallon. As OPEC+ continues to manipulate global oil supplies, it remains to be seen whether these efforts will ultimately drive prices back down or reignite inflationary pressures on the US economy.