OPEC+ Unleashes Inflationary Shock: US Gas Prices on the Cusp of a Surge
In a surprise move, OPEC+ announced Sunday that it would slash oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day starting in May, marking a sudden shift towards reduced output. The news has sent shockwaves through global energy markets, with Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark, skyrocketing by around 6% in trading on Monday.
The impact of this move will be felt at US gas pumps sooner rather than later. Gasoline futures have already begun to rise, with wholesale prices up about 8 cents per gallon – a 3% increase that will likely be passed onto drivers more quickly than the spike in oil prices. This news has set off alarm bells for many experts, who warn that it could reignite inflationary pressures.
"This is a wake-up call," said Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS. "OPEC is reawakening the inflation monster, and the White House will be shocked by this move." According to Kloza, the national average for US gas prices stands at $3.51, but he expects prices to surge in the coming days, potentially reaching $3.80 to $3.90.
Kloza notes that while the US has managed to keep prices relatively low due to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve's releases and increased oil production, a cut of this magnitude is difficult to offset. However, Kloza acknowledges OPEC+'s ability to reduce production and its motivation behind this move.
The implications of this new development are far-reaching. While some experts predict that prices will not reach record levels seen in 2022 – when gas averaged $5.02 per gallon – others warn that prices could rise again if global demand is affected by hurricanes or other weather events along the Gulf Coast.
In any case, Monday's news serves as a stark reminder of the interconnectedness of global energy markets and the potential for unexpected shocks to the system.
In a surprise move, OPEC+ announced Sunday that it would slash oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day starting in May, marking a sudden shift towards reduced output. The news has sent shockwaves through global energy markets, with Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark, skyrocketing by around 6% in trading on Monday.
The impact of this move will be felt at US gas pumps sooner rather than later. Gasoline futures have already begun to rise, with wholesale prices up about 8 cents per gallon – a 3% increase that will likely be passed onto drivers more quickly than the spike in oil prices. This news has set off alarm bells for many experts, who warn that it could reignite inflationary pressures.
"This is a wake-up call," said Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS. "OPEC is reawakening the inflation monster, and the White House will be shocked by this move." According to Kloza, the national average for US gas prices stands at $3.51, but he expects prices to surge in the coming days, potentially reaching $3.80 to $3.90.
Kloza notes that while the US has managed to keep prices relatively low due to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve's releases and increased oil production, a cut of this magnitude is difficult to offset. However, Kloza acknowledges OPEC+'s ability to reduce production and its motivation behind this move.
The implications of this new development are far-reaching. While some experts predict that prices will not reach record levels seen in 2022 – when gas averaged $5.02 per gallon – others warn that prices could rise again if global demand is affected by hurricanes or other weather events along the Gulf Coast.
In any case, Monday's news serves as a stark reminder of the interconnectedness of global energy markets and the potential for unexpected shocks to the system.