US Sanctions Fail To Disrupt India's Russian Oil Imports
Russia is resorting to evasive maneuvers to circumvent US sanctions that aim to curb cheap oil imports from Moscow. Despite Washington imposing punitive measures, India continues to rely heavily on Russian crude, bolstered by lower prices.
The US government has slapped a 25% tariff on Indian imports and threatened to impose steeper penalties if New Delhi fails to comply. However, with four out of seven major refineries still reliant on Russian oil, the sanctions appear ineffective. Industry experts believe Moscow is reorganizing its supply chain, leveraging shadow middlemen that aren't sanctioned by Washington.
"Russia will not sit idly by as sanctions take effect," said Homayoun Falakshahi, a crude oil analyst at Kpler. "These new players are emerging, and it's just a matter of two or three months until the full supply chain gets reorganized."
Russia's President Vladimir Putin has vowed to maintain shipments to India, despite US pressure. With Russian oil currently $9-10 per barrel cheaper than Saudi Arabian or Iraqi oil, it's an attractive option for Indian refineries.
"For companies willing to take the risk, buying Russian oil represents significant savings," Falakshahi said. "We expect imports from India's public sector to return to pre-sanctions levels soon."
The EU sanctions that prevented Reliance, India's largest private oil company, from importing Russian crude have also been cited as a factor in its decision to stop purchases. However, analysts say the US is now presenting an opportunity for Reliance to resume buying Venezuelan oil, which could provide an alternative to Moscow's supplies.
With India's energy market vulnerable to disruptions, New Delhi must navigate this complex landscape carefully. For now, it seems Washington's sanctions have failed to disrupt Russia's influence over Indian oil imports.
Russia is resorting to evasive maneuvers to circumvent US sanctions that aim to curb cheap oil imports from Moscow. Despite Washington imposing punitive measures, India continues to rely heavily on Russian crude, bolstered by lower prices.
The US government has slapped a 25% tariff on Indian imports and threatened to impose steeper penalties if New Delhi fails to comply. However, with four out of seven major refineries still reliant on Russian oil, the sanctions appear ineffective. Industry experts believe Moscow is reorganizing its supply chain, leveraging shadow middlemen that aren't sanctioned by Washington.
"Russia will not sit idly by as sanctions take effect," said Homayoun Falakshahi, a crude oil analyst at Kpler. "These new players are emerging, and it's just a matter of two or three months until the full supply chain gets reorganized."
Russia's President Vladimir Putin has vowed to maintain shipments to India, despite US pressure. With Russian oil currently $9-10 per barrel cheaper than Saudi Arabian or Iraqi oil, it's an attractive option for Indian refineries.
"For companies willing to take the risk, buying Russian oil represents significant savings," Falakshahi said. "We expect imports from India's public sector to return to pre-sanctions levels soon."
The EU sanctions that prevented Reliance, India's largest private oil company, from importing Russian crude have also been cited as a factor in its decision to stop purchases. However, analysts say the US is now presenting an opportunity for Reliance to resume buying Venezuelan oil, which could provide an alternative to Moscow's supplies.
With India's energy market vulnerable to disruptions, New Delhi must navigate this complex landscape carefully. For now, it seems Washington's sanctions have failed to disrupt Russia's influence over Indian oil imports.