Britain's greatest threat may not be Russia, China or any other foreign power, but the United States itself. The British government and establishment have long been quick to portray another country as the main menace, but this habit of perception has become increasingly outmoded.
The notion that Britain is at war with a major enemy state has become a deeply ingrained part of its national psyche. Intelligence services, politicians, military officers, thinktanks and journalists all contribute to this narrative, often under the guise of "national security". The Prime Minister's office recently issued a warning about a "dangerous" situation, while a senior military officer cautioned that "the [national security] situation is more dangerous than I have known during my career".
The focus on Russia has been particularly intense since the invasion of Ukraine. However, with Donald Trump's presidency, this simplistic view is no longer tenable. The US administration's erratic and aggressive policies towards Europe, including Britain, have exposed deep divisions between the two countries.
Trump's anti-European stance, which includes attacks on free speech, tariffs, climate change, multiculturalism, military spending, international law and the regulation of tech companies, has made it clear that the special relationship is under strain. The UK's close ties with the US, including its nuclear-armed submarines at Faslane in Scotland and 13 US air force bases, are also being re-evaluated.
The last time this relationship was seriously questioned was during Ronald Reagan's presidency, over four decades ago. However, since then it has largely returned to normal, despite Trump's increasingly unpopular policies. The Labour Party's current leader Keir Starmer recently published a strategic defence review that barely mentioned Trump's anti-European foreign policy.
However, as the US continues its nationalist and isolationist agenda, there are growing concerns that this may not change anytime soon. The vice-president JD Vance's views on European instability and American dominance are becoming increasingly prominent, and it is likely that these sentiments will endure even if the Republicans lose the midterms.
The British government can continue to pretend that the US relationship is unchanged or can be adjusted, but this may no longer be tenable. It needs to do some new thinking about its role in the world and how it interacts with other major powers.
The notion that Britain is at war with a major enemy state has become a deeply ingrained part of its national psyche. Intelligence services, politicians, military officers, thinktanks and journalists all contribute to this narrative, often under the guise of "national security". The Prime Minister's office recently issued a warning about a "dangerous" situation, while a senior military officer cautioned that "the [national security] situation is more dangerous than I have known during my career".
The focus on Russia has been particularly intense since the invasion of Ukraine. However, with Donald Trump's presidency, this simplistic view is no longer tenable. The US administration's erratic and aggressive policies towards Europe, including Britain, have exposed deep divisions between the two countries.
Trump's anti-European stance, which includes attacks on free speech, tariffs, climate change, multiculturalism, military spending, international law and the regulation of tech companies, has made it clear that the special relationship is under strain. The UK's close ties with the US, including its nuclear-armed submarines at Faslane in Scotland and 13 US air force bases, are also being re-evaluated.
The last time this relationship was seriously questioned was during Ronald Reagan's presidency, over four decades ago. However, since then it has largely returned to normal, despite Trump's increasingly unpopular policies. The Labour Party's current leader Keir Starmer recently published a strategic defence review that barely mentioned Trump's anti-European foreign policy.
However, as the US continues its nationalist and isolationist agenda, there are growing concerns that this may not change anytime soon. The vice-president JD Vance's views on European instability and American dominance are becoming increasingly prominent, and it is likely that these sentiments will endure even if the Republicans lose the midterms.
The British government can continue to pretend that the US relationship is unchanged or can be adjusted, but this may no longer be tenable. It needs to do some new thinking about its role in the world and how it interacts with other major powers.