"Oil Spying on a Shaky Premise: Why Big Oil Giants Are Biting Off More Than They Can Chew"
US President Donald Trump may be pinning his hopes on Venezuela's oil reserves as an easy way out of economic woes, but he's likely underestimating the challenges that come with tapping into the country's struggling industry. The US has long history of meddling in other countries' business to secure access to oil, dating back to the 1950s when American intelligence services intervened in Iran's affairs to install a pro-Western leader.
However, today's economic reality is starkly different from the oil crises of the 1970s, which Trump seems to be drawing inspiration from. The world is awash with oil, and prices are at their lowest since 2021. The US produces three times as much GDP per unit of energy consumed than it did two decades ago, thanks to increased energy efficiency and a shift towards services-driven economy.
Moreover, the US has become gradually less dependent on Venezuela's oil over time. In fact, the country's reliance on foreign oil has declined significantly since the 1980s, driven by increases in domestic production and improved energy efficiency.
So, what makes Trump think that Venezuelan oil is an easy source of cash? The answer lies in his personal obsessions β low gas prices and unemployment rates β which he believes can be cured by a boost from cheap oil. But this narrative ignores the harsh reality on the ground: Venezuela's oil production has been dwindling for years, and pulling more out would require significant investment to restore its decrepit infrastructure.
Even if there was oil to snatch, getting hold of it would be no walk in the park. Crude oil is not a quickly or easily lootable resource, as noted by experts. Western oil companies have largely left Iraq's oil assets due to production disruptions and payment arrears, and Venezuela may follow suit.
The economic case for Venezuelan oil is even weaker than Trump thinks. Oil shocks have imposed only modest drags on the economy in the past, according to economists. The US economy has become much more resilient to oil price fluctuations since the 1970s, driven by increased energy efficiency and a shift towards services-driven growth.
In short, Trump's vision of a treasure trove of Venezuelan oil is based on a shaky premise. It's safer, easier, and cheaper for US companies to procure whatever oil the US economy needs at home. The US has already demonstrated its ability to access oil from other countries, such as Iraq, which offers a more predictable and secure source of supply.
US President Donald Trump may be pinning his hopes on Venezuela's oil reserves as an easy way out of economic woes, but he's likely underestimating the challenges that come with tapping into the country's struggling industry. The US has long history of meddling in other countries' business to secure access to oil, dating back to the 1950s when American intelligence services intervened in Iran's affairs to install a pro-Western leader.
However, today's economic reality is starkly different from the oil crises of the 1970s, which Trump seems to be drawing inspiration from. The world is awash with oil, and prices are at their lowest since 2021. The US produces three times as much GDP per unit of energy consumed than it did two decades ago, thanks to increased energy efficiency and a shift towards services-driven economy.
Moreover, the US has become gradually less dependent on Venezuela's oil over time. In fact, the country's reliance on foreign oil has declined significantly since the 1980s, driven by increases in domestic production and improved energy efficiency.
So, what makes Trump think that Venezuelan oil is an easy source of cash? The answer lies in his personal obsessions β low gas prices and unemployment rates β which he believes can be cured by a boost from cheap oil. But this narrative ignores the harsh reality on the ground: Venezuela's oil production has been dwindling for years, and pulling more out would require significant investment to restore its decrepit infrastructure.
Even if there was oil to snatch, getting hold of it would be no walk in the park. Crude oil is not a quickly or easily lootable resource, as noted by experts. Western oil companies have largely left Iraq's oil assets due to production disruptions and payment arrears, and Venezuela may follow suit.
The economic case for Venezuelan oil is even weaker than Trump thinks. Oil shocks have imposed only modest drags on the economy in the past, according to economists. The US economy has become much more resilient to oil price fluctuations since the 1970s, driven by increased energy efficiency and a shift towards services-driven growth.
In short, Trump's vision of a treasure trove of Venezuelan oil is based on a shaky premise. It's safer, easier, and cheaper for US companies to procure whatever oil the US economy needs at home. The US has already demonstrated its ability to access oil from other countries, such as Iraq, which offers a more predictable and secure source of supply.