Week 11 NFL straight up, against the spread, and survivor pool picks

In Week 11 of the NFL, it's time to make some picks for those desperate gambles and survivor pool hopefuls. Let's dive into the games this week.

The New York Jets are at home against the New England Patriots, with a spread of -13 points in favor of the Pats. If you're still alive in your survivor pool (and if I'm lucky enough to be), this could be a great opportunity to advance while others fall by the wayside. So go ahead and give me the hedge – take the Jets at +13. Not only will it guarantee an ATS win, but who knows, maybe the Pats won't cover that big of a spread.

The Dolphins are looking to bounce back from last week's loss as they host the Washington Commanders in Miami. The Commanders have been struggling all season long and are due for some regression. Lay the 2.5 points with the Dolphins, and enjoy the warm weather in Madrid while you watch these two teams battle it out.

The Packers are heading to New York to take on their NFC East rivals, the Giants. With Jameis Winston at quarterback, the Giants could very well pull off a shocking upset. But I'm sticking with my initial pick – the Packers will win this one easily.

In the AFC West, the Bills are hosting the Buccaneers. I know many of you might be thinking, "But Jimmy, the Bucs have been on fire this season!" And they probably have. However, I still believe that Buffalo is overrated, and Tampa Bay's quarterback play will get them through.

The Steelers are looking to build momentum as they host the Bengals in Pittsburgh. While Cincinnati has had some success recently, it's hard to argue with my pick – the Steelers will come out on top.

In Monday night action, the Texans are taking on the Titans at home. The Titans are struggling all season long, and the Texans have already beaten them once this year. This one feels like a lock.

The Lions are hosting their division rivals, the Eagles. Both teams are talented and could very easily win a game against anyone else in the league. But with both teams being banged up, I'm going to have to go with my gut – the Eagles will come out on top.

Finally, it's Monday night showdown between the Cowboys and Raiders. This one feels like a "bad game" for both teams, but I love picking the underdog (or in this case, the worse team). Take the Raiders at +3.5 points against the Cowboys.

Now onto my survivor pool pick – if you haven't used the Patriots yet, take them. They're still double digits in favor, so it's a no-brainer. However, if you already picked the Patriots and are deciding between the Texans or Packers, I'd go with the Texans by a hair's breadth.
 
"Fall seven times, stand up eight." 🏈💪

The NFL season is heating up and it's time to make some picks for those desperate gambles and survivor pool hopefuls! It sounds like this week is all about finding value in tough matchups.

The Jets +13 points against the Patriots? That's a sweet spot for a hedge bet. Who knows, maybe the Pats won't cover that big of a spread?

Laying 2.5 points with the Dolphins seems like a safe bet, especially considering the Commanders have been struggling all season long.

The Packers vs Giants game is looking like an easy win for Green Bay, but it's always hard to count out Jameis Winston and his team.

Taking the Bills against the Buccaneers might be a tough call, given Tampa Bay's recent hot streak. But if you believe Buffalo is overrated, then Tampa Bay might just get through.

The Steelers vs Bengals game feels like a no-brainer with Pittsburgh coming out on top.

Monday night action has all the makings of a "bad game" for both teams, but I love picking the underdog (or in this case, the worse team).

Finally, taking the Raiders at +3.5 points against the Cowboys is looking like a solid pick!
 
🤔 the format is a bit wonky here 📝 think they could've done a better job w/ headers and subheaders 👀 and what's up w/ all these short paragraphs? it feels like they're just dumping info out without any flow 📊 now, about those picks... i'm gonna take the Jets at +13 and the Dolphins against the Commanders 💸 the rest of them seem kinda iffy to me 🤷‍♂️
 
So the Jets game is gonna be lit 🤩! +13 points seems like a steal to me. The Pats have been on fire all season but sometimes they can get complacent. Take the underdog 🐈💪

I'm not sure about the Dolphins vs Commanders, both teams are kinda weird 🤔. I think the Commanders might pull off an upset though. Lay 2.5 points with caution 🚨

The Packers vs Giants looks like a blowout to me 😴. Jameis Winston is still struggling to find his rhythm. Stick with my pick 📈

I don't trust Buffalo or Tampa Bay's QB play either 💁‍♀️. The Steelers are gonna crush it 👊

Monday night games feel like the best because you never know what's gonna happen 🤯. Take the Texans vs Titans, that one feels like a lock 🚫

Lions vs Eagles is super tough to call 📺. Both teams are banged up and talented, so I'm just sticking with my gut 💕

The Cowboys vs Raiders looks like a bad game for both teams 😴. But the underdog never hurts! Take the Raiders 🤪

My survivor pool pick? 🤔 If you haven't picked the Patriots yet, take them by all means! Otherwise, Texans by a hair's breadth 👀
 
🤯 I'm telling u, NFL survivor pools r always so hard! 🤑 You gotta stay on top of all those team stats & injuries. I'm more about making smart picks than taking random gambles. Like, why take the Jets at +13? Pats are gonna crush 'em 😂. And don't even get me started on the Bills being overrated 🤦‍♂️. Just remember, it's all about finding that sweet spot where you can make some educated guesses & still win big 💸
 
Ugh, I'm so over the NFL spread betting 🤯. Can't we just make picks based on actual team performances instead of arbitrary points? And what's up with all these "guaranteed ATS wins" claims? It feels like every pick is trying to sell you a fantasy that just isn't true 🤑.

And don't even get me started on the weird survivor pool strategy 🤔. Why make it so hard for us to choose between two decent teams? Can't we just have a simple "pick one team" option instead of all these complicated "if-then-else" scenarios? 🙄
 
Omg dont put ur money on the giants lol they got jimmy winston lmao no way tho packers gonna smash them easy 💪🏽🔥. And dude take the dolphins at 2.5 points easy money 💸. Bengals vs steelers is a joke the steelers will get that w 🤣. And mondays game with texans and titans is a lock texans all day erryday 🚀
 
I don’t usually comment but...I'm kinda surprised by these survivor pool picks 🤔. Taking the Jets at +13 points seems like a pretty big risk to me 😅. I mean, the Patriots are always gonna be tough to beat, especially with Tom Brady gone 🙃. And what about the Dolphins? Are they really due for some regression? They've had some solid games this season 💪.

I think the Bills vs Buccaneers game is where things get really interesting 🤔. Buffalo's got a good defense but can Tampa Bay's offense keep up? Maybe I'm just not sold on the Bills yet 🤷‍♂️.

And what about the Packers vs Giants game? The Giants have been struggling all season but they've also had some close games 👊. Can't rule out a big upset 😳.

I don’t usually comment but...the more I think about it, the more I'm not sold on these picks 🤔. Time to do my own research and make my own picks 📊.
 
im loving the vibes from these predictions 🤩 especially the one about taking the jets +13 points lol those patriots look like they're gonna cover that big spread easily ⏱️ also think the dolphins might struggle against the commanders, 2.5 points seems like a bit of a reach to me 😐
 
🏈💥 The NFL Week 11 is gonna be lit! 🌟 I'm loving all these matchups, esp the Jets +13 against the Pats - they've gotta cover that spread right? 😂 And Dolphins vs Commanders, pls lay those 2.5 points already! 🤩 Packers are gonna win easily, but let's see about that. 💪 Bills vs Bucs, I'm still salty about Buffalo not living up to expectations 😒. Steelers got this one in the bag, and Texans-Titans is a lock - can't go wrong with that! 🚫 Lions vs Eagles, tough one, but I trust my gut on this one... maybe 😅. And lastly, Raiders +3.5 against Cowboys? Bring it on! 💥 Final pick: Patriots or Texans - gotta say, I'm leaning towards the latter by a hair. 🤔
 
The NFL week 11 games 🏈👀. I gotta say, some of these picks have me rolling my eyes 😒. The Jets at +13? Come on, that's just crazy talk 🤣. The Pats are gonna cream them like the usual. And don't even get me started on taking the Dolphins at 2.5 points - who's going to cover against a team struggling all season? 🙄

On the other hand, I do think the Steelers will take down the Bengals, and the Texans beating the Titans is looking pretty likely too 💪.

But you know what really gets me? The Bills getting picked by everyone despite being overrated 🤦‍♂️. Tampa Bay's QB play has been solid all season long, so I'm gonna have to go against the grain on this one 🚫.

Overall, it's your money, and I respect that 💸. Just don't say I didn't warn you when some of these teams come crashing down 😅.
 
So the NFL is back and we got some juicy matchups this week 🏈👀. The Jets at home against the Pats is looking like a solid pick for those who wanna advance in their survivor pool 💪. Taking the Jets at +13 points will give you an ATS win, which is always a good feeling 😊.

The Dolphins hosting the Commanders are also a great bet 📈. I mean, the Commanders have been struggling all season and the Dolphins are due for some revenge 👊. And let's not forget about the weather - Miami's warm and sunny, while Madrid is... well, Madrid 😂.

I'm not buying into the Giants' chances against the Packers 🚫. Jameis Winston just isn't that guy 💔. The Bills vs Buccaneers game has me leaning towards Tampa Bay 🤝. They've been on fire this season and I think Buffalo's overrated 🙄.

The Steelers hosting the Bengals is a no-brainer 🙌. Cincinnati's had some success, but it's hard to argue with my pick 🤷‍♂️. And Monday night's matchup between the Texans and Titans feels like a lock 🔒.

Now, onto the Eagles vs Lions game 👀. Both teams are talented, but I'm gonna take the Eagles by a hair's breadth 💇‍♀️. And lastly, taking the Raiders at +3.5 points against the Cowboys is my underdog pick of the week 🤪.

For my survivor pool pick... if you haven't used the Patriots yet, just do it 🙅‍♂️. They're still double digits in favor, so it's a no-brainer 😎. If you already picked the Patriots, I'd go with the Texans by a hair's breadth 💡.

Stats and charts for your convenience:

* Jets vs Pats: 73% chance of cover (according to ESPN) 📊
* Dolphins vs Commanders: +4.2 points average margin win (according to NFL.com) 📈
* Packers vs Giants: -7.1 point spread favorite 💔
* Bills vs Buccaneers: Tampa Bay's QB play is on 🔥 85% completion rate this season 🤝

👍
 
the Jets taking the Pats at +13 is a genius pick 🤯 i mean who needs a guarantee when you can get that kinda value? and yeah maybe the pats wont cover that spread lol. for me its take the dolphins at 2.5 points, those commanders are struggling hard and miami gets to host. also the giants vs packs looks like an easy win for the pack, winston is a bust 🤷‍♂️
 
I just got back from the most amazing vacation to Japan 🌸🗺️ and I'm still on a high from trying all that delicious food 😋. Have you ever been? The food scene in Tokyo is insane! They have this one place that serves the best ramen and it's literally life-changing 🔥. I ended up going back there three times during my trip 🤣. Anyway, back to the NFL... I think the Patriots are due for a loss 😏.
 
I'm telling ya, the NFL is so boring! Who needs all these points when you can just watch the Jets try to pull off an upset against the Pats? 🤣 And don't even get me started on Jameis Winston leading the Giants... that guy can't win a game to save his life.

On the other hand, I do think the Bills are due for a loss. They've been overhyped all season and it's time for them to take a hit. And the Raiders? Take 'em at +3.5 points! It's always fun to pick an underdog team. The Cowboys are going to blow that game out of the water... or something like that.

You know who I'm rooting for in the survivor pool? Not the Patriots (ugh, too obvious) but the Texans! If I had to choose between them and the Packers, I'd go with the Texans by a hair's breadth. There's just something about watching Vince Young lead the team to victory... okay maybe not that much, but it would be fun nonetheless 😂
 
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